Juvenes / Dogana 2-4 Murata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.76
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Juvenes / Dogana win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
17%
Draw
25%
-7.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juvenes / Dogana The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Murata The Market 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Murata got the better of Juvenes / Dogana 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Juvenes / Dogana at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata?

Juvenes / Dogana 2-4 Murata in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juvenes / Dogana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Juvenes / Dogana 54%, draw 17%, Murata 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Juvenes / Dogana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juvenes / Dogana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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