09/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Sobec Lesce vs Jesenice Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
34%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
45%
30%
Draw
25%
27%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sobec Lesce v Jesenice — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sobec Lesce
The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jesenice
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
260 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sobec Lesce vs Jesenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sobec Lesce and Jesenice shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Sobec Lesce at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Sobec Lesce vs Jesenice?
Sobec Lesce 1-1 Jesenice in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sobec Lesce vs Jesenice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sobec Lesce win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sobec Lesce 44%, draw 30%, Jesenice 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sobec Lesce), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sobec Lesce)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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