09/03/2024
·
15:55
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Tuwaiq vs Al Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
45%
29%
Draw
28%
32%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuwaiq v Al Sahel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tuwaiq
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Sahel
The Market 30%
-66% /
-66%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-27%
/
-76%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
349 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
246 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tuwaiq vs Al Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tuwaiq saw off Al Sahel 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tuwaiq found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Tuwaiq vs Al Sahel?
Tuwaiq 2-0 Al Sahel in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuwaiq vs Al Sahel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tuwaiq win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tuwaiq 39%, draw 29%, Al Sahel 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuwaiq), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Tuwaiq)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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