Eyüpspor 0-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

Eyüpspor
0-1 HT 0-0
Çorum FK
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Eyüpspor vs Çorum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
15%
3.6
X/2
11%
11.0
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
10%
9.05
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
18.0
Value flag · 2/X at 18.0 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eyüpspor v Çorum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.59/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.55
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
27.1 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Eyüpspor vs Çorum FK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.55 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
395 Passes 379
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-3 HT 1-3 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
05.11.2020 Çorum FK Çorum FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK

Eyüpspor 0-1 Çorum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
0-1
AWAY Çorum FK
1.10 xG 0.37
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
666 Passes 199
92% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Eyüpspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 74% of the ball to Çorum FK's 26%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.10 to 0.37 — on chances, Eyüpspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eyüpspor and 2.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Çorum FK?

Eyüpspor 0-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 48%, draw 27%, Çorum FK 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Eyüpspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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