Suphanburi 1-2 Chiangmai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
-23.3pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.2pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suphanburi EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangmai EU Bookmakers 9%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.98/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.99
-9% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suphanburi
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Chiangmai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2023 Suphanburi Suphanburi 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangmai Chiangmai TAY1
29.10.2022 Chiangmai Chiangmai 2-3 HT 2-1 Suphanburi Suphanburi TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suphanburi
1-2
AWAY Chiangmai
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Suphanburi vs Chiangmai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangmai edged past Suphanburi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Suphanburi at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Suphanburi had 63% of the ball to Chiangmai's 37%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Suphanburi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Suphanburi and 1.00 for Chiangmai.

What was the final score of Suphanburi vs Chiangmai?

Suphanburi 1-2 Chiangmai in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suphanburi vs Chiangmai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suphanburi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Suphanburi 56%, draw 22%, Chiangmai 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Suphanburi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suphanburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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