BG Pathum United 7-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.33
Over 2.5
63%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.78/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
+44% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.9 Crosses 23.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 1.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
510 Passes 262
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
7-1
AWAY Sukhothai
2.80 xG 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
376 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United cruised past Sukhothai 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 54% of the ball to Sukhothai's 46%, shots finished 23-17, expected goals 2.80 to 1.60.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai?

BG Pathum United 7-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 55%, draw 23%, Sukhothai 22%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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