SC Villa 1-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.94
Draw
36%
2.66
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
30%
-9.6pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.34
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Express
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.04.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-2 Express Express UGA
20.11.2021 Express Express 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY Express
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa squeezed past Express 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Express at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, SC Villa had 41% of the ball to Express's 59%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Express led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SC Villa and 1.00 for Express.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Express?

SC Villa 1-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated an Express win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 21%, draw 36%, Express 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Express) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
9 Mar 2024
16:00 Gaddafi vs NEC Analysis →