CA River Plate 1-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston River
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
04.06.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
05.03.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
12.08.2022 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
19.02.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
30.10.2021 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-2
AWAY Boston River
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River edged past CA River Plate 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Boston River made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 43% of the ball to Boston River's 57%, shots finished 2-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Boston River?

CA River Plate 1-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 40%, draw 28%, Boston River 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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