09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Nkana vs Mufulira Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
45%
4-5
13%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
43%
38%
Draw
30%
25%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nkana v Mufulira Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nkana
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mufulira Wanderers
The Market 30%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.49/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-59%
/
+31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+19%
/
+1%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
328 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
257 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nkana vs Mufulira Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nkana squeezed past Mufulira Wanderers 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 38% / 25% — and on the day Nkana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Nkana vs Mufulira Wanderers?
Nkana 2-1 Mufulira Wanderers in the Zambiya - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nkana vs Mufulira Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nkana 37%, draw 38%, Mufulira Wanderers 25%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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