Genoa U20 0-2 Atalanta U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.80/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
-57% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +70%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 2-3 HT 1-3 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
0-2
AWAY Atalanta U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Atalanta U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U20 saw off Genoa U20 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 51% of the ball to Atalanta U20's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Genoa U20 0-2 Atalanta U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 44%, draw 26%, Atalanta U20 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✗ BTTS Yes
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