Barcelona (K) 4-1 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
12.6
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
87%
-53.4pp
33%
Draw
6%
+27.3pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
4.10/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.60
+100% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
59.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
30.8 Crosses 15.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Valencia (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.94 xG 0.41
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
620 Passes 160
90% Pass Accuracy 64%
44 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
16.06.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
4-1
AWAY Valencia (K)
2.88 xG 0.20
79% Ball Possession 21%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
635 Passes 95
88% Pass Accuracy 50%
59 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Valencia (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 79% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 21%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.88 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.00 for Valencia (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Barcelona (K) 4-1 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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