Pas de la Casa 1-2 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
45%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
45%
Away Win
60%
-14.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 64%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.05/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.77
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
1W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 1-0 Pas de la Casa AND
10.11.2024 Pas de la Casa 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
04.05.2024 Pas de la Casa 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
17.12.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 3-2 HT 2-0 Pas de la Casa AND
05.11.2023 Pas de la Casa 0-5 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pas de la Casa
1-2
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma squeezed past Pas de la Casa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pas de la Casa had 51% of the ball to FC Santa Coloma's 49%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Pas de la Casa and 2.20 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs FC Santa Coloma?

Pas de la Casa 1-2 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 26%, draw 28%, FC Santa Coloma 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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