Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.58/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.79
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.9 Crosses 16.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.68 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
20.01.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
16.12.2023 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
05.02.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
2-0
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.00 xG 0.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
314 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) got the better of Canberra United (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 55% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 45%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.00 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 0.50 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 49%, draw 27%, Canberra United (K) 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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