Mebrat Hayl 1-0 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
43%
2.61
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.06
No
67%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
53%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
28%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.2pp
43%
Draw
35%
+7.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
28%
+5.0pp
67%
BTTS No
72%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
06.12.2024 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-0 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-0
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl edged past Shire Endaselassie 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 49% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 51%, shots finished 2-1.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Shire Endaselassie?

Mebrat Hayl 1-0 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 31%, draw 43%, Shire Endaselassie 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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