Seongnam 2-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Incheon United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
359 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 3-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
29.05.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
20.03.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
03.11.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
19.09.2021 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
18.08.2021 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-1
AWAY Incheon United
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
334 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Seongnam had 48% of the ball to Incheon United's 52%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Seongnam and 0.83 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Incheon United?

Seongnam 2-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 29%, draw 25%, Incheon United 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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