Telstar (K) 1-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
68%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
34%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.8pp
68%
Away Win
86%
-18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.16/3.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.81
+61% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
164 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 541 · 88%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.2 Crosses 23.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 6
158 Passes 528
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Crosses 29
28.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) HOLK1
21.01.2024 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar (K)
1-4
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
238 Passes 381
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) swept aside Telstar (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telstar (K) had 40% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 60%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Telstar (K) and 3.50 for PSV Eindhoven (K).

What was the final score of Telstar (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Telstar (K) 1-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Telstar (K) 11%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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