Aktobe 2-1 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.73
No
60%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
54%
-14.2pp
60%
BTTS No
46%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.69/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.67
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +120%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Turan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
02.06.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
24.10.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 3-2 HT 2-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
12.07.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
24.10.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
23.05.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe squeezed past FK Turan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aktobe and 0.83 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs FK Turan?

Aktobe 2-1 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 52%, draw 21%, FK Turan 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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