FC Sheriff 3-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-21.5pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.6pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.19/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.80
-27% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
13.08.2023 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
3-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff swept aside Sparta Selemet 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 60% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 40%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.00 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

FC Sheriff 3-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 61%, draw 20%, Sparta Selemet 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
9 Mar 2025
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