UD Oliveirense 0-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.0
Over
48%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.5
2-3
42%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.11
6+
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.5 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME UD Oliveirense The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela The Market 61%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.12 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.37
1.59 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.66
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses 25.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vizela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.64 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
30.01.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-3 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
0-1
AWAY Vizela
0.50 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 10
164 Passes 293
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW UD Oliveirense vs Vizela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vizela nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Vizela as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.77, about 56%.

Under the surface, Vizela saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for UD Oliveirense against 1.50 for Vizela.

UD Oliveirense vs Vizela Result & Final Score

UD Oliveirense 0-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

UD Oliveirense vs Vizela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 23%, draw 27%, Vizela 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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