Bursa Nilüfer FK 4-1 Polatlı 1926 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Polatlı 1926 Spor EU Bookmakers 27%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Polatlı 1926 Spor
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Polatlı 1926 Spor Polatlı 1926 Spor 3-4 HT 0-1 Bursa Nilüfer FK Bursa Nilüfer FK S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
4-1
AWAY Polatlı 1926 Spor
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Polatlı 1926 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Nilüfer FK cruised past Polatlı 1926 Spor 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bursa Nilüfer FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 54% of the ball to Polatlı 1926 Spor's 46%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Polatlı 1926 Spor?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 4-1 Polatlı 1926 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Polatlı 1926 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 47%, draw 28%, Polatlı 1926 Spor 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursa Nilüfer FK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bursa Nilüfer FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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