24Erzincanspor 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.48/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.62
-13% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH 24Erzincanspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24Erzincanspor and Kepezspor FAŞ shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was 24Erzincanspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of 24Erzincanspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

24Erzincanspor 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 24Erzincanspor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Before kick-off our model rated a 24Erzincanspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 24Erzincanspor 48%, draw 23%, Kepezspor FAŞ 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (24Erzincanspor) ✗ Over 2.5
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