Naples 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
Crosses 19.3
Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
1-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.33 xG 0.24
67% Ball Possession 33%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
338 Passes 135
72% Pass Accuracy 58%
23 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples and Chattanooga Red Wolves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Naples had 67% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 33%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Naples 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naples 38%, draw 26%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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