Uni. Catolica 3-0 Leones del Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Mar 2026

Uni. Catolica
3-0 HT 1-0
Leones del Norte
📅09/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/1.03
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
18.7 Crosses 11.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-0
AWAY Leones del Norte
2.66 xG 0.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
374 Passes 227
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Leones del Norte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica swept aside Leones del Norte 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 62% of the ball to Leones del Norte's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.66 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Leones del Norte?

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Leones del Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 61%, draw 24%, Leones del Norte 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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