Dunkerque 1-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.35
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
12%
6.0
X/2
16%
5.18
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.22/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.85
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.2 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Reims
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
363 Passes 428
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2025 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
1-1
AWAY Reims
0.73 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque and Reims couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dunkerque had 47% of the ball to Reims's 53%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.73 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Reims?

Dunkerque 1-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 30%, draw 26%, Reims 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Reims), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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