Helsingborgs IF 1-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 9 Apr 2024

Helsingborgs IF
1-1 HT 0-1
IK Brage
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.68
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
9%
5.59
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.95
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helsingborgs IF v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 38%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.48/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 2-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.04.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
31.10.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.05.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
19.09.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 4-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
29.04.2018 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2

Helsingborgs IF 1-1 IK Brage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1-1
AWAY IK Brage
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF and IK Brage couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 53% of the ball to IK Brage's 47%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helsingborgs IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 0.50 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage?

Helsingborgs IF 1-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 42%, draw 27%, IK Brage 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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