Godoy Cruz 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.93
6+ Goals
5%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.21
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.35
X/1
16%
3.44
X/2
7%
9.78
X/X
21%
4.27
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
10%
9.13
2/X
4%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 16%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.24/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.50
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
22.0 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
1W-5D-0L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 180
75% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
28.04.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
16.08.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
18.09.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.11.2016 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.03.2016 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.60 xG 1.27
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
509 Passes 138
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz edged past CA Sarmiento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Godoy Cruz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 72% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 28%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.60 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured CA Sarmiento.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Godoy Cruz and 0.83 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs CA Sarmiento?

Godoy Cruz 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 50%, draw 30%, CA Sarmiento 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
9 Apr 2024
02:00 Platense vs Atletico Tigre Analysis →