Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2024

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-0 HT 1-0
PFC Beroe
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 v PFC Beroe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.62/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.00
-39% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 PFC Beroe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past PFC Beroe 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 40% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 60%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 40%, draw 28%, PFC Beroe 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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