Imbabura 0-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
30%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 45%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
2.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.93
+133% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
9.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imbabura
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Macara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2023 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV2
25.06.2023 Macara Macara 2-0 HT 1-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV2
03.05.2023 Imbabura Imbabura 1-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
0-1
AWAY Macara
1.14 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
374 Passes 208
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara nicked a narrow win over Imbabura 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Imbabura at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Imbabura had 62% of the ball to Macara's 38%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.14 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imbabura and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Macara?

Imbabura 0-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imbabura win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 41%, draw 27%, Macara 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Imbabura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imbabura) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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