FC Levadia 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia HAZ
05.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.04.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.11.2022 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past FC Flora Tallinn 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Levadia had 62% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 38%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia 2-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Cup on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 60%, draw 20%, FC Flora Tallinn 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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