Goytre United 6-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Apr 2024

Goytre United
6-2 HT 4-2
Caerau (Ely)
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.32
No
30%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
70%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.0pp
30%
BTTS No
28%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goytre United v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
2.31/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/3.00
+51% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goytre United cruised past Caerau (Ely) 6-2. Half-time: 4-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Goytre United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Goytre United 6-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 36%, draw 23%, Caerau (Ely) 40%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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