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Bulgaristan (K) vs Ermenistan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulgaristan (K) v Ermenistan (K) — Team-Based Signals
Bulgaristan (K) 2-3 Ermenistan (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Ermenistan (K) squeezed past Bulgaristan (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bulgaristan (K) at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.
On the day, Bulgaristan (K) had 67% of the ball to Ermenistan (K)'s 33%, shots finished 6-6.
What was the final score of Bulgaristan (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?
Bulgaristan (K) 2-3 Ermenistan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulgaristan (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bulgaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan (K) 66%, draw 18%, Ermenistan (K) 15%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bulgaristan (K)), BTTS No went the other way.