Hırvatistan (K) 1-0 Ukrayna (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.78
Over 2.5
64%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+13.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
52%
-16.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
48%
+16.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
196 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan (K)
1-0
AWAY Ukrayna (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan (K) vs Ukrayna (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan (K) squeezed past Ukrayna (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ukrayna (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hırvatistan (K) had 40% of the ball to Ukrayna (K)'s 60%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Hırvatistan (K) 1-0 Ukrayna (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan (K) 34%, draw 22%, Ukrayna (K) 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ukrayna (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAVŞE More European Women's Championship Qualifiers
9 Apr 2024
15:00 Kosova (K) vs Galler (K) Analysis →
15:00 Azerbaycan (K) vs İsviçre (K) Analysis →
16:00 Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Slovenya (K) Analysis →
16:30 Bosna-Hersek U19 (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K) Analysis →
17:00 İsrail (K) vs Sırbistan (K) Analysis →
17:30 Karadağ (K) vs Faroe Adaları (K) Analysis →