Polonya (K) 1-3 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 9 Apr 2024

Polonya (K)
1-3 HT 0-1
Avusturya (K)
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
European Women's Championship Qualifiers – 2025

Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya (K) v Avusturya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Polonya (K) 1-3 Avusturya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
1-3
AWAY Avusturya (K)
0.33 xG 1.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
247 Passes 240
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya (K) beat Polonya (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avusturya (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 51% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 49%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.33 to 1.99.

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Polonya (K) 1-3 Avusturya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avusturya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 28%, draw 20%, Avusturya (K) 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avusturya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avusturya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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