Internacional Palmira 2-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-9.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.1pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional Palmira EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Internacional Palmira vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional Palmira and Santa Fe shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Internacional Palmira vs Santa Fe?

Internacional Palmira 2-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Cup on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional Palmira vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Internacional Palmira 24%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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