Japonya (K) 1-1 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 9 Apr 2024

Japonya (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Brezilya (K)
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
SheBelieves Cup – 2024

Japonya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya (K) v Brezilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Japonya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
346 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
30.11.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
17.02.2023 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
02.03.2019 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
29.07.2018 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
28.07.2017 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası

Japonya (K) 1-1 Brezilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
1-1
AWAY Brezilya (K)
2.96 xG 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
269 Passes 369
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) and Brezilya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Japonya (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 43% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.96 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Japonya (K) and 1.50 for Brezilya (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Japonya (K) 1-1 Brezilya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 49%, draw 21%, Brezilya (K) 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Japonya (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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