Milan U20 0-3 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cagliari U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2025 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 1-1 HT 1-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
09.11.2024 Milan U20 Milan U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 swept aside Milan U20 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cagliari U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Milan U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan U20 and 0.50 for Cagliari U20.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Milan U20 0-3 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 40%, draw 26%, Cagliari U20 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ BTTS Yes
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