PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSG v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
PSG 3-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
PSG saw off Aston Villa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, PSG had 75% of the ball to Aston Villa's 25%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.86.
What was the final score of PSG vs Aston Villa?
PSG 3-1 Aston Villa in the Champions League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSG vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSG 52%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.