Kosta Rika (K) 3-3 Ekvador (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Apr 2025

Kosta Rika (K)
3-3 HT 1-1
Ekvador (K)
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kosta Rika (K) vs Ekvador (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.35
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kosta Rika (K) v Ekvador (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
1.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
3.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Kosta Rika (K) 3-3 Ekvador (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika (K)
3-3
AWAY Ekvador (K)
1.53 xG 1.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 144
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika (K) vs Ekvador (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika (K) and Ekvador (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kosta Rika (K) had 63% of the ball to Ekvador (K)'s 37%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.53 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Kosta Rika (K) 3-3 Ekvador (K) in the Friendlies on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika (K) 36%, draw 30%, Ekvador (K) 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kosta Rika (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
9 Apr 2025
05:00 Kanada (K) vs Arjantin (K) Analysis →
05:30 ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K) Analysis →