Tigres 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No Pick
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+137% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.1 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.01 xG 0.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
458 Passes 377
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Tigres Tigres Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres
3-2
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.73 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
400 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres edged past Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres had 55% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 45%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.73 to 1.16 — on chances, Los Angeles Galaxy could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Tigres vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Tigres 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tigres 57%, draw 22%, Los Angeles Galaxy 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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