Asyut Petroleum 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.3pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.22/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.35
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asyut Petroleum
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.12.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
08.01.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 HT 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asyut Petroleum at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asyut Petroleum and 0.50 for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Asyut Petroleum 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 43%, draw 33%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asyut Petroleum), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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