Hekari United 1-0 Tiga Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — OFCSL, 9 Apr 2025

Hekari United
1-0 HT 1-0
Tiga Sport
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
OFCSL – 2025

Hekari United vs Tiga Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No Pick
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hekari United v Tiga Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hekari United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiga Sport EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Hekari United vs Tiga Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hekari United edged past Tiga Sport 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Hekari United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hekari United vs Tiga Sport?

Hekari United 1-0 Tiga Sport in the OFCSL on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hekari United vs Tiga Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hekari United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hekari United 38%, draw 31%, Tiga Sport 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hekari United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hekari United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OFCSL More OFCSL
9 Apr 2025
00:00 Auckland City vs Ifira Black Bird Analysis →