Tirsense vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tirsense v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Tirsense 0-5 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica cruised past Tirsense 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Tirsense had 35% of the ball to Benfica's 65%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.17 to 1.34.
What was the final score of Tirsense vs Benfica?
Tirsense 0-5 Benfica in the Portugal - Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tirsense vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tirsense 20%, draw 20%, Benfica 60%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.