Al Ula 1-2 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2026

Al Ula
1-2 HT 1-1
Abha
📅09/04/2026 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ula EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ula
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Abha
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.12.2025 Abha Abha 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ula Al Ula SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Ula vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha edged past Al Ula 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ula at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Ula vs Abha?

Al Ula 1-2 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ula vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ula win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ula 54%, draw 19%, Abha 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ula) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ula) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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