Thor Akureyri 4-2 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.18/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.95
-36% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Afturelding
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.07.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
12.05.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
27.08.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
24.06.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 4-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
06.08.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 2-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
28.05.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri beat Afturelding 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 18% / 39% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.83 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Afturelding?

Thor Akureyri 4-2 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 43%, draw 18%, Afturelding 39%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
9 May 2024
19:00 Njardvik vs Dalvik / Reynir Analysis →