America Mineiro vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
2-0
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
BR2
America Mineiro 3-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro beat Vila Nova 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America Mineiro had 54% of the ball to Vila Nova's 46%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.24 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America Mineiro and 0.50 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Vila Nova?
America Mineiro 3-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 53%, draw 24%, Vila Nova 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.