Al Wakrah 3-3 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.5pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Muaidar
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.58 xG 1.42
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
442 Passes 200
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
15.10.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KATYK
16.08.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
28.01.2014 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 3-4 HT 1-2 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
3-3
AWAY Al Muaidar
67% Ball Possession 33%
29 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah and Al Muaidar shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 67% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 33%, shots finished 29-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Al Wakrah and 1.25 for Al Muaidar.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Muaidar?

Al Wakrah 3-3 Al Muaidar in the KATEK on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 53%, draw 24%, Al Muaidar 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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