Kwara United 0-0 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 9 May 2024

Kwara United
0-0 HT 0-0
Rivers United
📅09/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Kwara United vs Rivers United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kwara United v Rivers United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.36/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.90
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kwara United vs Rivers United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rivers United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
16.01.2022 Rivers United Rivers United 3-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
26.05.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
10.01.2021 Rivers United Rivers United 3-0 HT 2-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ

Kwara United 0-0 Rivers United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
0-0
AWAY Rivers United
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United and Rivers United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kwara United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kwara United had 62% of the ball to Rivers United's 38%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rivers United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kwara United and 2.33 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Rivers United?

Kwara United 0-0 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 45%, draw 32%, Rivers United 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kwara United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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