09/05/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Vidar vs Vindbjart Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
23%
Draw
19%
23%
Away Win
17%
23%
Under 2.5
28%
77%
Over 2.5
72%
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
38%
BTTS No
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vidar v Vindbjart — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vidar
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vindbjart
EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
2.73/1.44
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.81/1.94
+7%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-38%
/
+29%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
389 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
Vidar vs Vindbjart Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vidar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Vindbjart
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
02.10.2021
Vidar
2-0
HT 1-0
Vindbjart
NOR4
2-0
HT 1-0
Vindbjart
NOR4
POST-MATCH
Vidar vs Vindbjart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vidar squeezed past Vindbjart 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vidar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (77%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Vidar vs Vindbjart?
Vidar 2-1 Vindbjart in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vidar vs Vindbjart?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vidar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vidar 53%, draw 23%, Vindbjart 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vidar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Vidar)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
9 May 2024