Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 May 2024

Kolos Kovalivka
0-1 HT 0-1
Zorya Luhansk
📅09/05/2024 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2023/2024

Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.5pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolos Kovalivka v Zorya Luhansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.05/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.76
-4% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
01.12.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
24.10.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
21.03.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
17.10.2020 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
11.07.2020 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk squeezed past Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.17 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?

Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 30%, draw 28%, Zorya Luhansk 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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