Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.27/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.14
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
11.08.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
15.04.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 3-1 HT 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
14.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-1 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
06.03.2022 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-0 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
22.01.2021 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 HT 0-1 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1-0
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai squeezed past Song Lam Nghe An 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoang Anh Gia Lai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 52% of the ball to Song Lam Nghe An's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Song Lam Nghe An led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.67 for Song Lam Nghe An.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 41%, draw 28%, Song Lam Nghe An 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
9 May 2024
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